What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 123 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Tromsdalen UIL drew 30 where the draw model expected 24.3 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 24.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 28 Apr 2002 → 08 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 19 Jun 2019 → 29 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 18 Apr 2004 → 27 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 23 May 1994 → 28 Aug 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 30 Apr 2000 → 18 Jun 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 02 Jul 2000 → 30 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 10 Aug 2014 → 19 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 28 Apr 2019 → 06 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 13 May 2018 → 24 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 05 Sep 2010 → 07 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 516 | 108 | 20.9% | 2 | 22 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 97 | 24 | 24.7% | 2 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 16 |
| 2018 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 9 |
| 2017 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 4 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 9 |
| 2009 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 4 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 15 |
| 2003 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2002 | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 25 |
| 2001 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | 13 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1995 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 1994 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 15 |
| 1993 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 1992 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1991 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 16:00 |
Tromsdalen UIL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.