St Johnstone
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 519 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), St Johnstone drew 123 where the draw model expected 126.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 120.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 31 Dec 2016 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 29 Mar 2025 → 08 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 15 Aug 2015 → 21 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 26 Dec 2001 → 23 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 28 Sep 1996 → 01 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 12 Aug 2020 → 17 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 08 Dec 2018 → 10 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Jan 2014 → 25 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 04 Apr 2026 → 21 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 19 May 2024 → 14 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 790 | 205 | 26.0% | 0 | 22 |
| Scottish Championship | 396 | 117 | 29.5% | 5 | 14 |
| Scottish League Cup | 88 | 15 | 17.1% | 0 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 60 | 10 | 16.7% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2025 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 15 |
| 2024 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 11 |
| 2023 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 12 |
| 2019 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2018 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2017 | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | 26 |
| 2016 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2015 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 14 |
| 2014 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2013 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 7 |
| 2011 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2010 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 2009 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 2008 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2007 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 11 |
| 2006 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2004 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 11 |
| 2002 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 12 |
| 2001 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2000 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 10 |
| 1999 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 1998 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 1997 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 1996 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 13 |
| 1995 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 1994 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 1971 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:00 |
Aberdeen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
St Johnstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Rangers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
St Johnstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Kilmarnock
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
St Johnstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.