AS Saint-Étienne
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 485 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), AS Saint-Étienne drew 122 where the draw model expected 131.9 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 134.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 May 2003 → 01 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 07 Nov 2021 → 13 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 05 Oct 2008 → 06 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 11 Apr 2026 → 12 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 13 Sep 2025 → 06 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 05 Oct 2024 → 12 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 15 Dec 2019 → 16 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 28 Feb 2021 → 09 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 11 Aug 2013 → 24 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 17 May 2008 → 20 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 890 | 255 | 28.7% | 5 | 14 |
| Ligue 2 | 353 | 105 | 29.8% | 0 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 74 | 26 | 35.1% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 1 | 7 |
| Coupe de France | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 12 |
| 2024 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2020 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2017 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 6 |
| 2014 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2013 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 10 |
| 2012 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2011 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2010 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 13 |
| 2007 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 38 | 17 | 44.7% | 5 |
| 2004 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2003 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 17 |
| 2002 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 7 |
| 2000 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 1999 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 1998 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 1997 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 1996 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 1995 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 1994 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 1993 | 22 | 10 | 45.5% | 4 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1979 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1974 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:00 |
AS Saint-Étienne
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 18:00 |
Red Star
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 18:00 |
AS Saint-Étienne
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 19:00 |
EA Guingamp
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 19:00 |
AS Saint-Étienne
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.