Sheffield Wednesday
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 605 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Sheffield Wednesday drew 164 where the draw model expected 166.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 161.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 29 Dec 2020 → 14 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 11 Dec 2021 → 12 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 01 Feb 2014 → 04 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 01 Jan 2026 → 07 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 16 Jan 1999 → 17 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 24 Oct 2012 → 26 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 02 Jan 2010 → 09 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 20 Jan 1996 → 13 Apr 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 30 Oct 2010 → 08 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 01 Sep 2007 → 03 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 920 | 256 | 27.8% | 3 | 21 |
| FA Cup | 420 | 104 | 24.8% | 1 | 6 |
| League One | 283 | 75 | 26.5% | 0 | 15 |
| Premier League | 274 | 75 | 27.4% | 1 | 13 |
| League Cup | 199 | 48 | 24.1% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 1 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| FA Community Shield | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 14 |
| 2025 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 13 |
| 2021 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 15 |
| 2020 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2019 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 2018 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2017 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 55 | 18 | 32.7% | 5 |
| 2014 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 15 |
| 2013 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 13 |
| 2011 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 6 |
| 2010 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 13 |
| 2009 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2008 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 7 |
| 2007 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2006 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 6 |
| 2005 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 11 |
| 2003 | 49 | 21 | 42.9% | 5 |
| 2002 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 8 |
| 2001 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 11 |
| 2000 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 12 |
| 1999 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 14 |
| 1998 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 1997 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 1996 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 13 |
| 1995 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 1993 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 4 |
| 1992 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1990 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1987 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1983 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1980 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 3 |
| 1978 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1976 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1973 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1966 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 1960 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1954 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1939 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1934 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1923 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1920 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1914 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1913 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1906 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1905 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1904 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1903 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1901 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1899 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1898 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1897 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1896 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1895 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1894 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1893 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1892 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1891 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1890 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1889 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1888 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1885 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1883 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1882 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1881 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1880 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Huddersfield Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Notts County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Doncaster Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 14:00 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.