Scunthorpe United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 472 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Scunthorpe United drew 121 where the draw model expected 126.2 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 124.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 24 Nov 2020 → 02 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 20 Oct 1998 → 06 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 05 Sep 2015 → 28 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 02 Oct 2010 → 15 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 02 Feb 2013 → 06 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 17 Mar 2001 → 25 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 10 Nov 2018 → 12 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 28 Feb 2017 → 30 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 25 Mar 2000 → 26 Aug 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 28 Mar 2016 → 09 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 673 | 190 | 28.2% | 1 | 19 |
| League One | 506 | 143 | 28.3% | 3 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 232 | 70 | 30.2% | 1 | 5 |
| Championship | 138 | 29 | 21.0% | 0 | 15 |
| League Cup | 135 | 32 | 23.7% | 1 | 4 |
| National League | 104 | 24 | 23.1% | 11 | 11 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2025 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 6 |
| 2022 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2021 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2019 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2018 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 10 |
| 2017 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2016 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2015 | 57 | 18 | 31.6% | 16 |
| 2014 | 49 | 20 | 40.8% | 9 |
| 2013 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 14 |
| 2012 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 12 |
| 2010 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2009 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2008 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2007 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2006 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2005 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 2004 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 8 |
| 2003 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 5 |
| 2002 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2001 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 14 |
| 2000 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 13 |
| 1999 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 6 |
| 1998 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 13 |
| 1997 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 1996 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 10 |
| 1995 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 1994 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 26 | 10 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 1992 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1991 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1990 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1985 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1983 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1982 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1973 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1954 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1953 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Fylde
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Scunthorpe United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Tamworth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:30 |
Boston United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.