Schalke 04
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 482 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Schalke 04 drew 117 where the draw model expected 117.1 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 04 Oct 2014 → 17 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 05 Apr 2026 → 16 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 23 Aug 2025 → 13 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 10 Sep 2022 → 24 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 13 Mar 2021 → 08 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 27 Jan 2018 → 18 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 05 Mar 2022 → 07 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 31 Jul 2011 → 15 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 28 Feb 2009 → 13 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 19 Aug 2006 → 29 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 990 | 269 | 27.2% | 0 | 16 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 136 | 27 | 19.9% | 7 | 16 |
| UEFA Europa League | 100 | 26 | 26.0% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 75 | 17 | 22.7% | 5 | 7 |
| DFB-Pokal | 63 | 9 | 14.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 5 |
| DFL-Supercup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 13 |
| 2025 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 13 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2021 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2020 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2019 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 9 |
| 2018 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 13 |
| 2017 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 11 |
| 2015 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2014 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 14 |
| 2013 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2011 | 57 | 10 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2010 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2007 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 12 |
| 2005 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 2003 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2002 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2001 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2000 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1999 | 33 | 14 | 42.4% | 5 |
| 1998 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 9 |
| 1997 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 12 |
| 1996 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 12 |
| 1995 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 1994 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 7 |
| 1993 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:30 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 13:30 |
Schalke 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:30 |
1. FC Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:00 |
Dynamo Dresden
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 14:30 |
Schalke 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 18:30 |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sat, 06 Mar 2027 | ||||||
| 06 Mar |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.