☆
· NOR · Eliteserien
Team ☆
all results ›
NOR · Club
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Played
659
Draw %
24.0%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
22
24 Apr 2022 → 18 Sep 2022
Avg top run
14.5
top 10
Draw debt E
0.63
p50
18.0%
p100
23.0%
Draw score
0.168
rank #945
Draws
158
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,872
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,950
reached 2 Apr 2018
Rank
#84
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
659
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 426 matches (Apr 2015 – Oct 2026), Sarpsborg 08 drew 108 where the draw model expected 94.8 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 96.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 22
24 Apr 2022 → 18 Sep 2022
2 18
05 Oct 2025 → 22 Mar 2026
3 17
04 Jun 2023 → 17 Sep 2023
4 16
25 Jul 2021 → 06 Nov 2021
5 14
21 Apr 2024 → 12 Jul 2024
6 14
26 May 2013 → 29 Sep 2013
7 13
22 Jul 2012 → 21 Oct 2012
8 11
08 Jul 2018 → 16 Sep 2018
9 11
24 Oct 2010 → 11 May 2011
10 9
19 Apr 2008 → 05 Jun 2008
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 24 Apr 2022 → 18 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 05 Oct 2025 → 22 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 04 Jun 2023 → 17 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 25 Jul 2021 → 06 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 21 Apr 2024 → 12 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 26 May 2013 → 29 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 22 Jul 2012 → 21 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 08 Jul 2018 → 16 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 24 Oct 2010 → 11 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 19 Apr 2008 → 05 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 444 | 123 | 27.7% | 2 | 20 |
| 1. divisjon | 118 | 24 | 20.3% | 3 | 13 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 75 | 8 | 10.7% | 2 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 | 8 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 10 |
| 2025 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 14 |
| 2023 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 17 |
| 2022 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 22 |
| 2021 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 16 |
| 2020 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 33 | 15 | 45.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 11 |
| 2017 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 14 |
| 2012 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 13 |
| 2011 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2010 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 5 |
| 2009 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sun, 18 Oct 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
☆
NOR · Norwegian Football Cup
Sun, 01 Nov 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sun, 08 Nov 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sun, 22 Nov 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sun, 29 Nov 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sun, 06 Dec 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
Sun, 13 Dec 2026
☆
NOR · Eliteserien
|
||||||
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 12:30 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 16:00 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 17:00 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 16:00 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 16:00 |
Hamarkameratene
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 18:15 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 29 Nov 16:00 |
IK Start
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sun, 06 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 06 Dec 13:30 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sun, 13 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 13 Dec 16:00 |
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.