UC Sampdoria
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 483 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), UC Sampdoria drew 120 where the draw model expected 128.7 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 134.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 03 Feb 2020 → 29 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 06 Jan 2022 → 16 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 26 Jan 2019 → 28 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 05 Oct 2008 → 21 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 08 Feb 1998 → 26 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Sep 2007 → 12 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 Oct 2022 → 28 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 17 Oct 2021 → 16 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 06 Dec 2020 → 30 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 24 Sep 2017 → 03 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 922 | 248 | 26.9% | 1 | 16 |
| Serie B | 313 | 109 | 34.8% | 4 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 57 | 11 | 19.3% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 5 |
| 2025 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2024 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 10 |
| 2022 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 15 |
| 2021 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2020 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 16 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 14 |
| 2018 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2017 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 2016 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2015 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 2014 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2012 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2011 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2010 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 5 |
| 2009 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2008 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 2007 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 12 |
| 2006 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2005 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 8 |
| 2004 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2003 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 2002 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 4 |
| 2001 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 1999 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1998 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 1997 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 1996 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 1995 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 1994 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1993 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1990 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1989 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:30 |
US Avellino
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 17:30 |
UC Sampdoria
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:00 |
FC Südtirol
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 18:30 |
UC Sampdoria
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 16:15 |
Carrarese Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.