Salford City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 402 matches (Nov 2015 – Sep 2026), Salford City drew 107 where the draw model expected 110.8 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 107.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 01 Jan 2026 → 06 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 30 Nov 2024 → 25 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 27 Mar 2019 → 13 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 02 Sep 2023 → 14 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 06 Sep 2025 → 25 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 07 Apr 2023 → 05 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 14 Sep 2019 → 22 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 27 Nov 2018 → 05 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 17 Mar 2024 → 20 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 19 Mar 2022 → 15 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 321 | 81 | 25.2% | 2 | 19 |
| National League | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 7 | 8 |
| FA Cup | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 3 | 3 |
| League Cup | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 21 |
| 2025 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2024 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2020 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2018 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 7 |
| 2015 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Salford City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Cheltenham Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Salford City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Bristol Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 26 Oct 20:00 |
Walsall
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Salford City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.