What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 265 matches (Jul 2019 – Sep 2026), Rodez AF drew 94 where the draw model expected 80.4 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 81.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 13 Sep 2019 → 10 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 17 May 2024 → 18 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 25 Feb 2023 → 22 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 03 Jan 2025 → 14 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 02 Oct 2021 → 03 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 05 Feb 2021 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 29 Aug 2025 → 26 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 13 Apr 2024 → 03 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 16 Sep 2023 → 07 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 22 Oct 2022 → 30 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 255 | 91 | 35.7% | 3 | 14 |
| Coupe de France | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% | 4 |
| 2025 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 13 | 48.2% | 4 |
| 2019 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 13 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 13:00 |
Rodez AF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:00 |
AS Saint-Étienne
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Mon, 19 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 19 Oct 18:45 |
Rodez AF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 12:00 |
Dijon FCO
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 19:00 |
Rodez AF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 13:00 |
Clermont Foot
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.