Stade Rennais
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 523 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Stade Rennais drew 124 where the draw model expected 135.9 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 138.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 25 Oct 2024 → 26 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 26 | 02 Oct 2005 → 16 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 12 Nov 2022 → 05 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 27 Jan 2001 → 25 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 19 Mar 2023 → 13 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 07 Apr 2012 → 16 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 18 Dec 2010 → 11 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 08 Jan 2022 → 20 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 22 Jan 2010 → 03 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 20 Nov 2004 → 19 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 1179 | 310 | 26.3% | 4 | 28 |
| Coupe de France | 60 | 11 | 18.3% | 3 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 59 | 12 | 20.3% | 0 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Trophée des Champions | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 10 |
| 2025 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 22 |
| 2024 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 14 |
| 2022 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 12 |
| 2021 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 55 | 15 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2018 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2017 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2013 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 14 |
| 2011 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 2010 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 12 |
| 2009 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 4 |
| 2007 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 10 |
| 2006 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 16 |
| 2005 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2004 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 9 |
| 2003 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2002 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2001 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 16 |
| 2000 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 1999 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 1998 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 1997 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 1996 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 1995 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1994 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 17:00 |
Stade Lavallois
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:15 |
Stade Rennais
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
Stade Rennais
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:15 |
Paris FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 16:45 |
Juventus
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:15 |
Stade Rennais
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 16:15 |
OGC Nice
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
Stade Rennais
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 14:00 |
Stade Rennais
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.