Reading
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 614 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Reading drew 163 where the draw model expected 167.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 163.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 01 Nov 2011 → 10 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 18 Oct 2016 → 31 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 28 Jan 2003 → 04 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 07 Feb 1998 → 08 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 24 Apr 2004 → 25 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 05 Oct 2001 → 08 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 02 Jan 1995 → 21 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 17 Aug 2024 → 02 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 30 Jul 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 11 Mar 2017 → 08 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 1012 | 258 | 25.5% | 1 | 21 |
| League One | 376 | 105 | 27.9% | 0 | 12 |
| FA Cup | 344 | 98 | 28.5% | 0 | 5 |
| League Cup | 189 | 47 | 24.9% | 2 | 4 |
| Premier League | 114 | 23 | 20.2% | 3 | 13 |
| Club Friendlies | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 3 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 13 |
| 2023 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2022 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 12 |
| 2021 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2020 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 11 |
| 2019 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 12 |
| 2016 | 59 | 14 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2015 | 58 | 15 | 25.9% | 9 |
| 2014 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2012 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 12 |
| 2011 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 6 |
| 2009 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 11 |
| 2007 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 2006 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 11 |
| 2005 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 2004 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 15 |
| 2003 | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 19 |
| 2002 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2001 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 2000 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 1999 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 19 |
| 1997 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 8 |
| 1996 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 7 |
| 1995 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 14 |
| 1994 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 1993 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 10 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1989 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1986 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1978 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1976 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1973 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1926 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1912 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1904 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1901 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1900 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1894 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1886 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1885 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1883 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1882 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1881 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1880 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1878 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1877 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Wigan Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 19:00 |
Reading
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Reading
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Plymouth Argyle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 19:45 |
Oxford United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.