Queen of the South
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 478 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Queen of the South drew 114 where the draw model expected 118.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 08 Dec 2001 → 23 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 30 Apr 2021 → 16 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 19 Dec 2015 → 26 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 28 Oct 2012 → 19 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 15 Oct 1999 → 12 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 22 Aug 2009 → 07 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 08 Dec 2007 → 16 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 29 Jul 2023 → 28 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 29 Oct 2019 → 01 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 29 Aug 1998 → 07 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 667 | 177 | 26.5% | 1 | 13 |
| Scottish League One | 369 | 80 | 21.7% | 3 | 19 |
| Scottish League Cup | 79 | 14 | 17.7% | 3 | 6 |
| Scottish Cup | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2025 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 10 |
| 2024 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 2023 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 12 |
| 2022 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 14 |
| 2020 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2019 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2018 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 8 |
| 2017 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 5 |
| 2016 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 13 |
| 2015 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2012 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2011 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2010 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2009 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 13 |
| 2008 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2007 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 5 |
| 2006 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2004 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2003 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 10 |
| 2002 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 13 |
| 2001 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2000 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1999 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 1998 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 11 |
| 1997 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 11 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.