Portimonense SC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 253 matches (Aug 2017 – Sep 2026), Portimonense SC drew 57 where the draw model expected 62.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 63.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 05 Mar 2022 → 24 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 17 Sep 2023 → 02 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 20 Jan 2023 → 02 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 14 Jan 2018 → 11 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 17 Dec 2023 → 09 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 27 Sep 2020 → 05 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 24 Oct 2021 → 12 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 06 Mar 2021 → 22 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 22 Jun 2020 → 26 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 09 Nov 2018 → 05 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 268 | 61 | 22.8% | 1 | 20 |
| Taça de Portugal | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 10 |
| 2022 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 22 |
| 2021 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2018 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2017 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2011 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:00 |
Florgrade
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.