☆
· POR · Taça de Portugal
Team ☆
all results ›
POR · Club
União de Leiria
União de Leiria
Played
546
Draw %
27.1%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
14
15 Aug 2011 → 08 Jan 2012
Avg top run
9.8
top 10
Draw debt E
0.33
p50
14.0%
p100
18.0%
Draw score
0.144
rank #1,120
Draws
148
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,537
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,702
reached 27 Jan 2002
Rank
#1,171
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
546
last 19 Sep 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 546 matches (Aug 1994 – Sep 2026), União de Leiria drew 148 where the draw model expected 146.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 138.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 14
15 Aug 2011 → 08 Jan 2012
2 13
05 May 1996 → 23 Nov 1996
3 13
14 May 1995 → 05 Nov 1995
4 9
30 Nov 2009 → 07 Feb 2010
5 9
16 Dec 2007 → 01 Mar 2008
6 9
17 May 2003 → 23 Aug 2003
7 8
26 Oct 2003 → 04 Jan 2004
8 8
28 Apr 2002 → 05 Oct 2002
9 8
04 Mar 2001 → 29 Apr 2001
10 7
29 Aug 2010 → 31 Oct 2010
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 15 Aug 2011 → 08 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 05 May 1996 → 23 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 14 May 1995 → 05 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 30 Nov 2009 → 07 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 16 Dec 2007 → 01 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 17 May 2003 → 23 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 26 Oct 2003 → 04 Jan 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 28 Apr 2002 → 05 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 04 Mar 2001 → 29 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 29 Aug 2010 → 31 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 524 | 146 | 27.9% | 4 | 14 |
| Taça de Portugal | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2011 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 13 |
| 2010 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2008 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2007 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2006 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2005 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 34 | 17 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2002 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2001 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 8 |
| 2000 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 6 |
| 1999 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1998 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 1997 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 6 |
| 1996 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 1995 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 1994 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
Matches
all results ›
546 matches · page 1 / 14
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
POR · Taça de Portugal
|
||||||
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 15:00 |
União de Leiria
|
vs | Bragança | – / – / – | 20.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.