☆
· POR · Taça de Portugal
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
821
Draw %
27.4%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
25
25 Nov 2012 → 15 Sep 2013
Avg top run
12.8
top 10
Draw debt E
0.34
p50
34.0%
p100
34.0%
Draw score
0.137
rank #1,190
Draws
225
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,540
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,662
reached 12 Dec 2005
Rank
#1,111
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
821
last 20 Sep 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 197 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Vitória de Setúbal drew 64 where the draw model expected 50.6 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 2.2 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 49.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 25
25 Nov 2012 → 15 Sep 2013
2 16
16 Jan 2006 → 30 Apr 2006
3 12
16 Feb 2009 → 16 May 2009
4 12
04 Oct 1998 → 04 Jan 1999
5 12
01 Mar 1998 → 17 May 1998
6 11
06 Nov 2016 → 05 Feb 2017
7 11
24 Oct 2014 → 25 Jan 2015
8 10
09 Dec 2013 → 02 Mar 2014
9 10
03 Apr 1999 → 19 Aug 1999
10 9
06 Oct 2018 → 02 Jan 2019
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 25 Nov 2012 → 15 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 16 Jan 2006 → 30 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 16 Feb 2009 → 16 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 04 Oct 1998 → 04 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 01 Mar 1998 → 17 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 06 Nov 2016 → 05 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 Oct 2014 → 25 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 09 Dec 2013 → 02 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 03 Apr 1999 → 19 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 Oct 2018 → 02 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 750 | 213 | 28.4% | 1 | 25 |
| UEFA Europa League | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 1 | 8 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 24 | 2 | 8.3% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Taça de Portugal | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 34 | 17 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2015 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2014 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 7 |
| 2013 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 23 |
| 2012 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2011 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 7 |
| 2010 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 12 |
| 2008 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2007 | 30 | 14 | 46.7% | 3 |
| 2006 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 16 |
| 2005 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2004 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2003 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2002 | 33 | 15 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 2001 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 1999 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 1998 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 12 |
| 1997 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 1996 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 1995 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 1974 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1972 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1970 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1968 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
821 matches · page 1 / 21
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sun, 18 Oct 2026
☆
POR · Taça de Portugal
|
||||||
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 14:00 |
Vitória de Setúbal
|
vs | Uniao da Serra | – / – / – | 20.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.