☆
· POR · Taça de Portugal
Team ☆
all results ›
POR · Club
Académica de Coimbra
Académica de Coimbra
Played
532
Draw %
31.6%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
15
22 Oct 2006 → 11 Mar 2007
Avg top run
9.1
top 10
Draw debt E
0.68
p50
30.0%
p100
37.0%
Draw score
0.204
rank #748
Draws
168
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,507
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,633
reached 25 Sep 2010
Rank
#2,871
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
532
last 18 Sep 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 532 matches (Jul 1968 – Sep 2026), Académica de Coimbra drew 168 where the draw model expected 139.4 from those particular fixtures — about 29 more, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 135.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 15
22 Oct 2006 → 11 Mar 2007
2 11
11 Sep 2005 → 04 Dec 2005
3 9
17 May 2015 → 03 Oct 2015
4 9
14 May 2011 → 21 Oct 2011
5 9
05 Sep 2004 → 12 Nov 2004
6 8
18 Mar 2012 → 12 May 2012
7 8
29 Nov 2009 → 06 Feb 2010
8 8
24 Jan 2003 → 15 Mar 2003
9 7
30 Jan 2006 → 11 Mar 2006
10 7
14 Feb 2004 → 26 Mar 2004
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 22 Oct 2006 → 11 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 11 Sep 2005 → 04 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 17 May 2015 → 03 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 14 May 2011 → 21 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 05 Sep 2004 → 12 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 18 Mar 2012 → 12 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 29 Nov 2009 → 06 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 24 Jan 2003 → 15 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 30 Jan 2006 → 11 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 14 Feb 2004 → 26 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 512 | 163 | 31.8% | 1 | 15 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Taça de Portugal | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 9 |
| 2014 | 30 | 14 | 46.7% | 3 |
| 2013 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2012 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 8 |
| 2011 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 9 |
| 2010 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 5 |
| 2008 | 28 | 13 | 46.4% | 5 |
| 2007 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2005 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 11 |
| 2004 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2003 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 1998 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 1997 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
532 matches · page 1 / 14
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
☆
POR · Taça de Portugal
|
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| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 19:15 |
Académica de Coimbra
|
vs |
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– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.