Peterhead
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 466 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Peterhead drew 99 where the draw model expected 106.5 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 103.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 19 Aug 2006 → 20 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 10 Apr 2021 → 16 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 16 Sep 2017 → 03 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 06 Apr 2002 → 19 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 15 Oct 2005 → 21 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 05 Apr 2025 → 30 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 08 Apr 2017 → 26 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 18 Nov 2000 → 24 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 19 Aug 2023 → 18 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 23 Nov 2019 → 22 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 489 | 110 | 22.5% | 3 | 20 |
| Scottish League Two | 432 | 92 | 21.3% | 5 | 17 |
| Scottish League Cup | 65 | 9 | 13.9% | 0 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 6 |
| 2025 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 14 |
| 2024 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 8 |
| 2023 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2022 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 21 |
| 2020 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2018 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 12 |
| 2017 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 13 |
| 2016 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 9 |
| 2015 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2014 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2013 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2012 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2011 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2010 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2009 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 2007 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2006 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 19 |
| 2005 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2004 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2003 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2002 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 16 |
| 2001 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2000 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 5 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.