What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 468 matches (Jan 2015 – Aug 2026), AC Perugia drew 147 where the draw model expected 144.7 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 145.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 27 Dec 2018 → 06 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 08 Nov 2015 → 30 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 29 Dec 2019 → 21 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 06 Jan 1999 → 21 Mar 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 12 Sep 1999 → 04 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 28 Aug 2022 → 05 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 25 Nov 2001 → 27 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 08 Sep 1996 → 24 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 03 Apr 2021 → 28 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 30 Sep 2020 → 01 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 398 | 130 | 32.7% | 3 | 14 |
| Serie A | 238 | 64 | 26.9% | 3 | 12 |
| Serie C | 150 | 50 | 33.3% | 0 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 30 | 3 | 10.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% | 3 |
| 2025 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2023 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2022 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 2018 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 8 |
| 2016 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2014 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% | 5 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2004 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2003 | 39 | 20 | 51.3% | 4 |
| 2002 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2001 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2000 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1999 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 12 |
| 1998 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 1997 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1996 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
