Fermana
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Over 242 matches (Jul 2016 – Apr 2024), Fermana drew 90 where the draw model expected 78.6 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 73.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 26 Nov 2022 → 08 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 23 Oct 2021 → 05 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 17 Oct 2018 → 25 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 10 Oct 1999 → 28 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 24 Mar 2024 → 28 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 13 Jan 2024 → 14 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 05 Sep 2021 → 02 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 11 Oct 2020 → 01 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 06 Nov 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 09 Apr 2022 → 04 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 240 | 89 | 37.1% | 6 | 7 |
| Serie B | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 3 | 7 |
| Coppa Italia | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 4 |
| 2022 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 3 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 4 |
| 1999 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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· ITA · Serie C
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| ☆ 28 Apr 2024 |
Fermana
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 21 Apr 2024 |
Juventus U23
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 14 Apr 2024 |
Fermana
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 07 Apr 2024 | ASD Torres | 2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 28 Mar 2024 |
Fermana
|
2–3 | Rimini | A |
|
| ☆ 24 Mar 2024 |
SS Arezzo
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 17 Mar 2024 |
Fermana
|
1–1 | US Sestri Levante | D |
|
| ☆ 10 Mar 2024 |
Fermana
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 05 Mar 2024 |
Ancona Calcio
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 02 Mar 2024 |
Fermana
|
2–2 | Olbia | D |
|
| ☆ 25 Feb 2024 |
Virtus Entella
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 18 Feb 2024 |
Fermana
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 14 Feb 2024 |
AC Perugia
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 10 Feb 2024 |
Fermana
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 03 Feb 2024 |
Cesena
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 26 Jan 2024 | Recanatese | 3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 21 Jan 2024 |
Fermana
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 13 Jan 2024 | Pontedera | 0–4 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 06 Jan 2024 |
Fermana
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 23 Dec 2023 |
Delfino Pescara 1936
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 16 Dec 2023 |
Fermana
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 10 Dec 2023 |
Lucchese 1905
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 03 Dec 2023 |
Fermana
|
1–1 | ASD Torres | D |
|
| ☆ 25 Nov 2023 | Rimini | 1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 19 Nov 2023 |
Fermana
|
2–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 12 Nov 2023 | US Sestri Levante | 3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 06 Nov 2023 |
Pineto
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 29 Oct 2023 |
Fermana
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 25 Oct 2023 | Olbia | 2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 22 Oct 2023 |
Fermana
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 15 Oct 2023 |
Spal
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 09 Oct 2023 |
Fermana
|
0–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 02 Oct 2023 |
Vis Pesaro
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 23 Sep 2023 |
Fermana
|
0–4 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 19 Sep 2023 |
Fermana
|
0–1 | Recanatese | A |
|
| ☆ 16 Sep 2023 |
AS Gubbio 1910
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 09 Sep 2023 |
Fermana
|
1–0 | Pontedera | H |
|
| ☆ 01 Sep 2023 |
Carrarese Calcio
|
3–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 23 Apr 2023 | ASD Torres | 1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 15 Apr 2023 |
Fermana
|
4–0 | Pontedera | H |
|