What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 390 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), Paris FC drew 120 where the draw model expected 118.2 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 117.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 07 Dec 2024 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 17 Aug 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 18 Feb 2023 → 22 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 02 Jun 2023 → 26 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 10 Apr 2026 → 18 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Apr 2024 → 10 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 08 Nov 2019 → 04 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 04 Aug 2017 → 19 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 04 Nov 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 06 Jan 2023 → 31 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 328 | 102 | 31.1% | 1 | 17 |
| Ligue 1 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 1 | 6 |
| Coupe de France | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% | 7 |
| 2025 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 15 |
| 2024 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 10 |
| 2022 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2018 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2017 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 21 | 13 | 61.9% | 2 |
| 2014 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:45 |
Lorient
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:15 |
Paris FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 18:45 |
RC Lens
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 16:15 |
Paris FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 16:15 |
AJ Auxerre
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.