Oxford United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 590 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Oxford United drew 155 where the draw model expected 160.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 156.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 02 Oct 2010 → 25 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 21 Oct 2000 → 17 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 02 Jan 2017 → 21 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 04 Mar 2008 → 21 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 22 Jan 2000 → 15 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 05 Apr 1997 → 23 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 16 | 22 Apr 2023 → 07 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 09 Mar 2021 → 09 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 15 | 15 Mar 2014 → 23 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 15 | 26 Dec 1996 → 18 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 547 | 127 | 23.2% | 0 | 17 |
| League Two | 506 | 151 | 29.8% | 3 | 17 |
| Championship | 276 | 71 | 25.7% | 5 | 14 |
| League Cup | 185 | 45 | 24.3% | 1 | 5 |
| National League | 182 | 47 | 25.8% | 3 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 181 | 47 | 26.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 7 |
| 2024 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 9 |
| 2023 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 16 |
| 2022 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 15 |
| 2020 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 11 |
| 2019 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2018 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 14 |
| 2017 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 17 |
| 2016 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 8 |
| 2015 | 52 | 19 | 36.5% | 4 |
| 2014 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 15 |
| 2013 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 11 |
| 2011 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2010 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2009 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 7 |
| 2008 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 17 |
| 2007 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 9 |
| 2006 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 2004 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 14 |
| 2003 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2002 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2001 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 51 | 5 | 9.8% | 17 |
| 1999 | 55 | 19 | 34.6% | 10 |
| 1998 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 17 |
| 1996 | 62 | 17 | 27.4% | 8 |
| 1995 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 1994 | 55 | 11 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 1993 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 8 |
| 1992 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1983 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1981 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1964 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Notts County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
Mansfield Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Oxford United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Oxford United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Oxford United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Barnsley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.7% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 19:45 |
Oxford United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.