SC Olhanense
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 155 matches (Jul 2009 – Sep 2026), SC Olhanense drew 56 where the draw model expected 40.0 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 3.0 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 39.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 25 Nov 2013 → 05 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 16 Mar 2013 → 11 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 30 Mar 2014 → 10 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 31 Mar 2012 → 27 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 12 Dec 2011 → 15 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 25 Sep 2011 → 29 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 20 Mar 2011 → 10 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 09 Jan 2011 → 06 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 17 Sep 2010 → 23 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 13 Sep 2009 → 04 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 150 | 55 | 36.7% | 6 | 8 |
| Taça de Portugal | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 4 |
| 2011 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 4 |
| 2010 | 30 | 14 | 46.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:00 |
SC Olhanense
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vs |
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– / – / – | 20.8% |
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Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.