Oldham Athletic
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 571 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Oldham Athletic drew 173 where the draw model expected 157.1 from those particular fixtures — about 16 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 151.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 17 Jan 2015 → 28 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 24 Oct 2020 → 26 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 14 Apr 2007 → 02 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 05 Mar 2022 → 30 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 03 Nov 2012 → 29 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 08 Jan 2005 → 15 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 03 Mar 2012 → 09 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 23 Oct 2004 → 28 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 20 Jan 2001 → 23 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 26 Dec 1998 → 06 Mar 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 966 | 298 | 30.9% | 0 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 278 | 60 | 21.6% | 2 | 4 |
| League Two | 229 | 63 | 27.5% | 4 | 17 |
| League Cup | 145 | 26 | 17.9% | 1 | 4 |
| Championship | 138 | 40 | 29.0% | 2 | 11 |
| National League | 138 | 47 | 34.1% | 2 | 10 |
| Premier League | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 11 |
| 2025 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 5 |
| 2024 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 51 | 17 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 13 |
| 2021 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 11 |
| 2020 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 15 |
| 2019 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2018 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 6 |
| 2017 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 8 |
| 2015 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 16 |
| 2014 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 13 |
| 2011 | 55 | 17 | 30.9% | 7 |
| 2010 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2009 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2007 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 14 |
| 2006 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2005 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 13 |
| 2004 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 12 |
| 2003 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 4 |
| 2002 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 12 |
| 2000 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 1999 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 1998 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 1997 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 1996 | 55 | 15 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 1995 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 9 |
| 1994 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 8 |
| 1993 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 7 |
| 1992 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1967 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1914 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1912 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1907 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Oldham Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Oldham Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Walsall
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Barnet
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Oldham Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.