NEC Nijmegen
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 289 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), NEC Nijmegen drew 78 where the draw model expected 63.5 from those particular fixtures — about 15 more, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 65.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 15 Jan 2017 → 19 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 19 Oct 1997 → 08 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 14 Dec 2003 → 17 Apr 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 29 May 2003 → 29 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 15 Aug 2011 → 27 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 06 Dec 2009 → 19 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 11 May 2025 → 28 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 18 Mar 2001 → 22 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 21 Apr 2024 → 21 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 22 Dec 2012 → 31 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 925 | 240 | 26.0% | 0 | 19 |
| KNVB Cup | 58 | 11 | 19.0% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 13 |
| 2024 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2023 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 9 |
| 2021 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 20 | 0 | 0.0% | 20 |
| 2016 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 5 |
| 2014 | 21 | 10 | 47.6% | 3 |
| 2013 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 10 |
| 2012 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 15 |
| 2010 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2009 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 4 |
| 2008 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2007 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2006 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2005 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2004 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 14 |
| 2003 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2002 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 8 |
| 2001 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2000 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 10 |
| 1999 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 1998 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 1997 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 1996 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 1995 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 1994 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 19:00 |
Ajax
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.1% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 16:45 |
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.3% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 13:30 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:45 |
SC Heerenveen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 19:00 |
Utrecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.