MVV Maastricht
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 203 matches (Aug 1993 – Aug 2026), MVV Maastricht drew 47 where the draw model expected 41.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 45.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 10 May 1998 → 24 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 11 Mar 2000 → 07 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 06 Mar 1998 → 24 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 21 Aug 1997 → 27 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 26 Sep 1999 → 06 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 08 May 1994 → 01 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 08 May 1999 → 28 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 14 Oct 1997 → 16 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 06 Feb 1994 → 12 Mar 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 30 Nov 1999 → 21 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 170 | 42 | 24.7% | 0 | 11 |
| KNVB Cup | 29 | 3 | 10.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2020 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1999 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1998 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 1997 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 8 |
| 1995 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1994 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 1993 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:00 |
MVV Maastricht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.