Montpellier HSC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 457 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Montpellier HSC drew 116 where the draw model expected 123.2 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 125.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 08 May 2022 → 30 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 21 Dec 2024 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 17 Oct 2021 → 23 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 08 Dec 2012 → 10 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 22 Nov 2009 → 27 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 22 Jan 2003 → 10 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 11 Mar 2017 → 12 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 23 Aug 2024 → 23 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 08 Apr 2016 → 21 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 06 Mar 2009 → 15 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 954 | 267 | 28.0% | 3 | 18 |
| Ligue 2 | 269 | 79 | 29.4% | 0 | 11 |
| Coupe de France | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 3 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2025 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 15 |
| 2024 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2023 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 17 |
| 2021 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 11 |
| 2020 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2018 | 41 | 19 | 46.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2016 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 2015 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2013 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 11 |
| 2012 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2011 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2010 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2008 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 4 |
| 2007 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2005 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2003 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2002 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2001 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 1999 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 1998 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 8 |
| 1997 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 1996 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 1995 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 8 |
| 1993 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:00 |
Montpellier HSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Mon, 19 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 19 Oct 18:45 |
Rodez AF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 12:00 |
Montpellier HSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 13:00 |
Annecy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 13:00 |
Montpellier HSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.