M'gladbach
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 488 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), M'gladbach drew 115 where the draw model expected 112.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 120.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 01 Sep 1995 → 09 Dec 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 20 Sep 1973 → 04 Nov 1974 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 13 Nov 2010 → 05 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 24 Aug 1996 → 02 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 13 May 2006 → 08 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 03 May 2026 → 24 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 24 Aug 2019 → 25 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 01 Aug 2015 → 17 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 04 May 2008 → 04 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 12 Dec 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 1024 | 263 | 25.7% | 7 | 16 |
| UEFA Europa League | 106 | 25 | 23.6% | 3 | 10 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 102 | 35 | 34.3% | 4 | 7 |
| DFB-Pokal | 57 | 8 | 14.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 1 | 8 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 13 |
| 2025 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2024 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 2022 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2021 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 13 |
| 2018 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 8 |
| 2015 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 13 |
| 2014 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 2013 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2012 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 3 |
| 2011 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 8 |
| 2010 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2009 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2007 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2006 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 2005 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2004 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2003 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2002 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 2001 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 5 |
| 1999 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1998 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 9 |
| 1996 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 15 |
| 1995 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 18 |
| 1994 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 1993 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1978 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1977 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1976 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 14 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 7 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:30 |
1. FC Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:30 |
M'gladbach
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:30 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
M'gladbach
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 14:30 |
M'gladbach
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.8% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:30 |
Hamburger SV
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 23 Jan 2027 | ||||||
| 23 Jan |
M'gladbach
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.