Mansfield Town
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 577 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Mansfield Town drew 172 where the draw model expected 159.9 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 155.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 08 Dec 2012 → 06 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 17 Mar 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 23 Oct 2021 → 29 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 15 Dec 2007 → 23 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 21 Apr 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 13 Dec 1994 → 04 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 04 Apr 1994 → 13 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 13 Sep 2003 → 15 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 21 Apr 2025 → 27 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 21 Dec 2024 → 11 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 1132 | 325 | 28.7% | 0 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 240 | 48 | 20.0% | 3 | 5 |
| National League | 228 | 49 | 21.5% | 28 | 28 |
| League One | 145 | 36 | 24.8% | 0 | 11 |
| League Cup | 135 | 27 | 20.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 8 |
| 2025 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 2024 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 11 |
| 2023 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 11 |
| 2020 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 50 | 22 | 44.0% | 7 |
| 2017 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2014 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 15 |
| 2013 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 28 |
| 2012 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 18 |
| 2011 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 6 |
| 2010 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2009 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2008 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 12 |
| 2007 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2005 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 12 |
| 2004 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2003 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2002 | 50 | 5 | 10.0% | 11 |
| 2001 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2000 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 1999 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 1998 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 11 |
| 1997 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 1996 | 52 | 20 | 38.5% | 7 |
| 1995 | 47 | 18 | 38.3% | 10 |
| 1994 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 14 |
| 1993 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1980 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1979 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1975 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 5 |
| 1974 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1969 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1961 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Mansfield Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
Mansfield Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Blackpool
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Mansfield Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.