Waldhof Mannheim
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 283 matches (Aug 2016 – Sep 2026), Waldhof Mannheim drew 92 where the draw model expected 77.7 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 77.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 Aug 2025 → 14 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 15 Oct 2016 → 19 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 06 Apr 2002 → 04 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 14 Apr 2000 → 15 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 18 Oct 1996 → 28 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 05 Aug 1995 → 27 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 26 Nov 2000 → 16 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 30 Aug 2026 → 24 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 02 May 2026 → 07 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 20 Feb 2026 → 21 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 276 | 85 | 30.8% | 4 | 13 |
| 3. Liga | 235 | 76 | 32.3% | 5 | 17 |
| Regionalliga Südwest | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 | 14 |
| DFB-Pokal | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 17 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 2023 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 2020 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2019 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2017 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2016 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 9 |
| 2003 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2002 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2001 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2000 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 13 |
| 1999 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 1997 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1996 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 1995 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 1994 | 36 | 18 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 4 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.