Málaga CF
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 468 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Málaga CF drew 139 where the draw model expected 137.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 132.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 01 Apr 2018 → 30 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 29 Nov 2003 → 21 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 16 Jun 2007 → 11 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 31 Oct 2010 → 05 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 07 Nov 2004 → 30 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 14 Dec 2025 → 28 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 23 Apr 2006 → 30 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 10 Mar 2014 → 03 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 10 Jan 2012 → 10 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 17 Apr 2005 → 18 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 653 | 167 | 25.6% | 2 | 17 |
| Segunda División | 420 | 133 | 31.7% | 1 | 15 |
| Copa del Rey | 57 | 18 | 31.6% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 9 |
| 2025 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 23 | 13 | 56.5% | 2 |
| 2023 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2022 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 9 |
| 2021 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 9 |
| 2020 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 4 |
| 2019 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 17 |
| 2017 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2016 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2015 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 2010 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2009 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 6 |
| 2008 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 14 |
| 2006 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 11 |
| 2005 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2004 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2003 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2002 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2001 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2000 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 1999 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 1998 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 9 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 19:00 |
Málaga CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 16:30 |
Málaga CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 19:00 |
Deportivo Alavés
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Real Betis
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Málaga CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.