☆
· ESP · Segunda División
Team ☆
all results ›
ESP · Club
Burgos CF
Burgos CF
Played
282
Draw %
28.7%
No-draw N
5
Max streak
13
21 Oct 2021 → 17 Dec 2021
Avg top run
8.6
top 10
Draw debt E
1.37
p50
28.0%
p100
27.0%
Draw score
0.341
rank #320
Draws
81
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,690
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,711
reached 27 Sep 2026
Rank
#313
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
282
last 12 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 236 matches (Aug 2016 – Oct 2026), Burgos CF drew 64 where the draw model expected 73.5 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 69.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 13
21 Oct 2021 → 17 Dec 2021
2 11
19 Aug 2023 → 22 Oct 2023
3 10
19 Jan 2025 → 21 Mar 2025
4 10
07 Jan 2024 → 10 Mar 2024
5 9
27 Oct 2024 → 08 Dec 2024
6 8
08 Jan 2022 → 05 Mar 2022
7 7
08 Oct 2022 → 05 Nov 2022
8 6
03 Jan 2026 → 31 Jan 2026
9 6
28 Oct 2001 → 25 Nov 2001
10 6
25 Aug 2001 → 30 Sep 2001
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 21 Oct 2021 → 17 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 19 Aug 2023 → 22 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 19 Jan 2025 → 21 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 07 Jan 2024 → 10 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 27 Oct 2024 → 08 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 08 Jan 2022 → 05 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 08 Oct 2022 → 05 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 03 Jan 2026 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 28 Oct 2001 → 25 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 25 Aug 2001 → 30 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 261 | 76 | 29.1% | 5 | 11 |
| Copa del Rey | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2025 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 10 |
| 2024 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2023 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 11 |
| 2022 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 8 |
| 2021 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2002 | 22 | 11 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
Matches
all results ›
282 matches · page 1 / 8
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 19:00 |
Burgos CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.9% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 26 Oct 19:30 |
Andorra
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.9% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 17:30 |
Burgos CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 13:00 |
Burgos CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 15 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 15 Nov 20:00 |
CD Leganés
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.6% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 20:00 |
Burgos CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.