☆
· ESP · Segunda División
Team ☆
all results ›
ESP · Club
UD Almería
UD Almería
Played
1,086
Draw %
26.7%
No-draw N
15
Max streak
15
05 Nov 2020 → 16 Jan 2021
Avg top run
12.6
top 10
Draw debt E
2.34
p50
12.0%
p100
18.0%
Draw score
0.568
rank #47
Draws
290
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,754
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,786
reached 20 Nov 2021
Rank
#209
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,086
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 521 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), UD Almería drew 136 where the draw model expected 147.5 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 150.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 15
16 May 2026 → 11 Oct 2026
2 15
05 Nov 2020 → 16 Jan 2021
3 14
01 Mar 2009 → 30 May 2009
4 13
27 Aug 2022 → 13 Nov 2022
5 13
23 Apr 2006 → 17 Sep 2006
6 12
18 May 2021 → 04 Oct 2021
7 11
07 Mar 2025 → 18 May 2025
8 11
24 Sep 2013 → 08 Dec 2013
9 11
12 May 2012 → 15 Sep 2012
10 11
30 May 2004 → 10 Oct 2004
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 16 May 2026 → 11 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 05 Nov 2020 → 16 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 01 Mar 2009 → 30 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 27 Aug 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 23 Apr 2006 → 17 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 18 May 2021 → 04 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 07 Mar 2025 → 18 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 24 Sep 2013 → 08 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 12 May 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 30 May 2004 → 10 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 719 | 202 | 28.1% | 12 | 13 |
| La Liga | 304 | 76 | 25.0% | 1 | 14 |
| Copa del Rey | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 2 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 15 |
| 2025 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 13 |
| 2021 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 12 |
| 2020 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2019 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 9 |
| 2017 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2016 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 6 |
| 2015 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 7 |
| 2014 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2012 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 11 |
| 2011 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2010 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 14 |
| 2008 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2007 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2006 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 13 |
| 2005 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 2004 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 11 |
| 2003 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 8 |
| 2002 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
| 1997 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 1996 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
Matches
all results ›
1,086 matches · page 1 / 28
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next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 12:00 |
Real Sociedad B
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 19:00 |
UD Almería
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 15:15 |
SD Eibar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 15:15 |
Girona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
| Sun, 15 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 15 Nov 20:00 |
UD Almería
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 20:00 |
AD Ceuta
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.