What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 364 matches (Nov 2015 – Jul 2026), Maidenhead United drew 83 where the draw model expected 96.2 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 92.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 04 Sep 2018 → 24 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 06 Feb 2024 → 01 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 02 Nov 2019 → 28 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 22 May 2021 → 18 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 04 Jan 2020 → 14 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 07 Apr 2018 → 07 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 07 May 2022 → 29 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 09 Oct 2021 → 04 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 03 Oct 2020 → 14 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 05 Jan 2019 → 02 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 354 | 81 | 22.9% | 2 | 12 |
| FA Cup | 51 | 6 | 11.8% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 5 |
| 2024 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2023 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 6 |
| 2022 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 9 |
| 2019 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2018 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 13 |
| 2017 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 8 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1886 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1885 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1882 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1881 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1880 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1879 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1878 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1877 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1875 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1874 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1873 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1872 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1871 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
