Lincoln City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 576 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Lincoln City drew 149 where the draw model expected 153.9 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 151.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 22 Aug 2006 → 01 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 05 Jan 2008 → 09 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 22 Nov 2014 → 14 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 02 May 2009 → 17 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 23 Apr 2016 → 10 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 05 Sep 1998 → 14 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 30 Aug 1996 → 15 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 27 Apr 2019 → 14 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 06 Feb 1999 → 10 Apr 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 13 Aug 1994 → 24 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 866 | 256 | 29.6% | 2 | 25 |
| League One | 357 | 91 | 25.5% | 3 | 12 |
| National League | 276 | 67 | 24.3% | 0 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 243 | 55 | 22.6% | 0 | 4 |
| League Cup | 154 | 36 | 23.4% | 3 | 4 |
| Championship | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2025 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2024 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 9 |
| 2023 | 53 | 19 | 35.9% | 7 |
| 2022 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2021 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 5 |
| 2020 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 8 |
| 2019 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 12 |
| 2018 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2017 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 13 |
| 2015 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 11 |
| 2014 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 11 |
| 2013 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2012 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 9 |
| 2011 | 55 | 9 | 16.4% | 11 |
| 2010 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2009 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 15 |
| 2008 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 23 |
| 2007 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 10 |
| 2006 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 23 |
| 2005 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2004 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 7 |
| 2003 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2002 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2001 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 8 |
| 2000 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 4 |
| 1999 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 12 |
| 1998 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 13 |
| 1997 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 4 |
| 1996 | 56 | 16 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 1995 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 1994 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 1993 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 1992 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1982 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1981 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1975 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1974 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1970 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1963 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1961 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1936 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1925 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1921 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1891 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1890 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1886 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1885 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Sheffield United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.5% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 19:00 |
Lincoln City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:30 |
Millwall
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Lincoln City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:30 |
Lincoln City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 19:45 |
Watford
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Queens Park Rangers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.