Leeds United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 576 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Leeds United drew 142 where the draw model expected 150.9 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 151.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 13 Aug 2006 → 28 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 28 Nov 2020 → 08 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 24 Aug 2013 → 04 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 04 Nov 2018 → 02 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 11 Aug 1999 → 16 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 09 Mar 2010 → 10 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 13 Feb 2019 → 22 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 08 Mar 2014 → 26 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 06 Nov 2012 → 01 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 01 Sep 1976 → 22 Feb 1978 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 690 | 169 | 24.5% | 6 | 18 |
| Premier League | 583 | 153 | 26.2% | 0 | 18 |
| FA Cup | 273 | 71 | 26.0% | 1 | 6 |
| League Cup | 200 | 36 | 18.0% | 2 | 7 |
| League One | 138 | 27 | 19.6% | 12 | 17 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 1 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 1 | 4 |
| FA Community Shield | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 8 |
| 2025 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 8 |
| 2024 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 9 |
| 2022 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2021 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 12 |
| 2020 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2019 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2018 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2017 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2016 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 11 |
| 2015 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 10 |
| 2014 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2013 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 17 |
| 2012 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2011 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2010 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 14 |
| 2009 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 10 |
| 2008 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2007 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2006 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 21 |
| 2005 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2004 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2003 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 2002 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 12 |
| 2001 | 59 | 16 | 27.1% | 8 |
| 2000 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 1999 | 56 | 10 | 17.9% | 16 |
| 1998 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 10 |
| 1997 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 10 |
| 1996 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 1995 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 6 |
| 1994 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1993 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 11 |
| 1992 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1991 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 1990 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1983 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1982 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1978 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1974 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1973 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 1972 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 1971 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 1969 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 10 |
| 1967 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 1966 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Arsenal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 13:00 |
Leeds United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:30 |
Sunderland
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Bournemouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 12:30 |
Leeds United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 02 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Dec 20:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 06 Jan 2027 | ||||||
| 06 Jan 20:15 |
Leeds United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.