Kongsvinger IL
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 337 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Kongsvinger IL drew 78 where the draw model expected 70.9 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 70.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 May 2019 → 31 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 08 May 1994 → 25 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 11 May 1986 → 31 Aug 1986 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 07 Jun 1989 → 08 Oct 1989 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 16 May 2009 → 04 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 06 Aug 2008 → 01 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 24 May 1999 → 08 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 08 May 1983 → 27 Jul 1983 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 10 Apr 2023 → 29 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 29 Jul 2012 → 07 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 619 | 133 | 21.5% | 1 | 17 |
| Eliteserien | 426 | 98 | 23.0% | 2 | 19 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 213 | 37 | 17.4% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 4 |
| 2023 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 11 |
| 2022 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 6 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 18 |
| 2018 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2017 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2016 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2013 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2012 | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 11 |
| 2011 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2009 | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 14 |
| 2008 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 14 |
| 2007 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2006 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 8 |
| 2005 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 8 |
| 2004 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 9 |
| 2000 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 8 |
| 1999 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 13 |
| 1998 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 1997 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 9 |
| 1996 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 1995 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 1994 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 18 |
| 1993 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 8 |
| 1992 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 9 |
| 1991 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 1990 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1989 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 17 |
| 1988 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 1987 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 18 |
| 1985 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 6 |
| 1984 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 1983 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 13 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 05 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Oct 17:00 |
Moss FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:00 |
Kongsvinger IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.2% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 17:00 |
Strømsgodset IF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:00 |
Kongsvinger IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 6.6% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:00 |
Sogndal IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:00 |
Pors Fotball
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 6.6% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
| Mon, 02 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Nov 18:00 |
Kongsvinger IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 12:00 |
Bryne FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.