SC Heerenveen
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 438 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), SC Heerenveen drew 114 where the draw model expected 96.2 from those particular fixtures — about 18 more, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 99.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 04 Nov 2009 → 10 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 09 Sep 2007 → 27 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 03 May 2003 → 02 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 29 Oct 2015 → 13 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 11 Sep 1998 → 11 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 05 Feb 2005 → 01 May 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 01 Oct 1999 → 29 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 01 May 1994 → 26 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 11 Jan 2023 → 01 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 21 Oct 2023 → 21 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 1121 | 292 | 26.1% | 1 | 22 |
| KNVB Cup | 59 | 7 | 11.9% | 4 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 4 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2025 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 11 |
| 2022 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2017 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2016 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2013 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2012 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2011 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 4 |
| 2010 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 15 |
| 2009 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2008 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2007 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 17 |
| 2006 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 8 |
| 2005 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 12 |
| 2004 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2003 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 15 |
| 2002 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2001 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2000 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 10 |
| 1999 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 11 |
| 1998 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 14 |
| 1997 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 1996 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 1995 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 1994 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 12 |
| 1993 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:00 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:00 |
SC Heerenveen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 19:00 |
ADO Den Haag
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 20:00 |
Excelsior Maassluis
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.7% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:45 |
SC Heerenveen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 11:15 |
SC Heerenveen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.