What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 555 matches (Aug 1995 – Aug 2026), De Graafschap drew 125 where the draw model expected 117.8 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 127.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 29 Jan 2000 → 07 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 08 Oct 1996 → 02 Mar 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 08 Mar 2003 → 29 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 24 Oct 2015 → 30 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 12 Feb 2012 → 21 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 21 Oct 2011 → 21 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 20 Nov 2004 → 20 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 18 Aug 2002 → 02 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 28 Oct 2000 → 01 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 30 Sep 2018 → 01 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 510 | 118 | 23.1% | 5 | 15 |
| KNVB Cup | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 2018 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 9 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 2015 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 2011 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2010 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2007 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 7 |
| 2004 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2003 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 13 |
| 2002 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 10 |
| 2001 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2000 | 34 | 2 | 5.9% | 15 |
| 1999 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1998 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 1997 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 6 |
| 1996 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 1995 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Roda JC Kerkrade
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.