What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 01 Nov 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 27 Aug 2018 → 10 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 05 Mar 2024 → 17 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 16 Apr 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 04 Mar 2025 → 26 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 01 Apr 2017 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 31 Aug 2013 → 19 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Apr 2026 → 31 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 12 Sep 2026 → 31 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 Apr 2015 → 18 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 657 | 170 | 25.9% | 9 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 97 | 14 | 14.4% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 10 |
| 2025 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2024 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 13 |
| 2023 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2019 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 2018 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 2017 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2016 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 12 |
| 2015 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2012 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 9 |
| 2011 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1952 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1951 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Over 421 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Gateshead drew 99 where the draw model expected 108.8 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 106.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.