SC Freiburg
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 480 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), SC Freiburg drew 118 where the draw model expected 114.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 119.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 08 May 2010 → 12 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 04 Apr 2023 → 21 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 22 Nov 2015 → 10 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 20 Sep 2003 → 14 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 09 Mar 2002 → 22 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 11 May 1996 → 02 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 15 Aug 2009 → 28 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 06 Mar 1999 → 29 May 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 26 Mar 1994 → 17 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 04 May 2026 → 12 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 888 | 228 | 25.7% | 0 | 17 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 238 | 52 | 21.9% | 4 | 15 |
| DFB-Pokal | 59 | 12 | 20.3% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 12 |
| 2025 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2024 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 2023 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 16 |
| 2022 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 2015 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2013 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 11 |
| 2012 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2011 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2010 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 19 |
| 2009 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 14 |
| 2008 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2007 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2006 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2004 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 11 |
| 2003 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 12 |
| 2002 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 15 |
| 2001 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 1999 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 14 |
| 1998 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 1996 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 15 |
| 1995 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1994 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 1993 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:30 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 13:30 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
AS Monaco
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:30 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:00 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 14:30 |
Augsburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
Trabzonspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 16:30 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.6% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Nov 14:30 |
SC Freiburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.