Fortuna Sittard
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 307 matches (Sep 2015 – Oct 2026), Fortuna Sittard drew 61 where the draw model expected 64.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 69.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 24 Jan 2021 → 08 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 19 Sep 1997 → 14 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 11 Feb 2023 → 21 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 17 Aug 2025 → 08 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 16 Apr 2022 → 02 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 06 Oct 2019 → 17 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 20 Jan 2019 → 30 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 26 Feb 2000 → 07 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 01 Nov 2023 → 17 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 22 Dec 2021 → 03 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 509 | 119 | 23.4% | 6 | 19 |
| KNVB Cup | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2024 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 13 |
| 2022 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 11 |
| 2021 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 15 |
| 2020 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% | 4 |
| 2019 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 11 |
| 2018 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2000 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 10 |
| 1998 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 1997 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 14 |
| 1996 | 35 | 17 | 48.6% | 5 |
| 1995 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:00 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.5% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 11:15 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:45 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:30 |
Feyenoord
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 10.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:30 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.