Fleetwood Town
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 583 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Fleetwood Town drew 173 where the draw model expected 162.6 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 154.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 25 Jan 2011 → 13 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 06 Apr 2013 → 05 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 19 Sep 2015 → 28 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 20 Mar 2018 → 11 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 21 Sep 2019 → 07 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 27 Sep 2014 → 29 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 29 Mar 2024 → 13 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 16 Mar 2021 → 27 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 10 Dec 2022 → 24 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 20 Oct 2020 → 21 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 449 | 131 | 29.2% | 7 | 13 |
| League Two | 192 | 60 | 31.3% | 2 | 14 |
| National League | 92 | 22 | 23.9% | 2 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 1 | 3 |
| League Cup | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2025 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2024 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 9 |
| 2023 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 50 | 20 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 11 |
| 2018 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2017 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 6 |
| 2016 | 53 | 21 | 39.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2014 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 11 |
| 2013 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 15 |
| 2012 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2011 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 20 |
| 2010 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% | 5 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Salford City
|
vs |
|
1.67 3.87 4.60 | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Fleetwood Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:30 |
Fleetwood Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Cheltenham Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Exeter City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 20:00 |
Fleetwood Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Fleetwood Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.