What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 155 matches (Sep 2015 – Aug 2026), FC Emmen drew 34 where the draw model expected 31.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 34.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 20 Apr 2019 → 14 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 04 Apr 2021 → 16 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 24 Oct 2020 → 04 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 27 Sep 2019 → 10 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 16 Apr 2023 → 28 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 26 Jan 2021 → 27 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 26 Jan 2019 → 03 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 20 Aug 2022 → 18 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 22 Dec 2020 → 20 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 07 Aug 2020 → 19 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 128 | 32 | 25.0% | 6 | 10 |
| KNVB Cup | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 6 |
| 2022 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2021 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2018 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 29 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Oct 20:00 |
Groningen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.