What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 102 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Faroe Islands drew 22 where the draw model expected 19.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 23.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 14 Nov 2024 → 09 Jun 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 24 Mar 2007 → 10 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 28 Mar 2021 → 15 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 23 Mar 2019 → 18 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 07 Sep 2014 → 11 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 24 Mar 2001 → 13 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Mar 2023 → 16 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 18 Aug 1999 → 16 Aug 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 26 Apr 1995 → 15 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 16 Nov 2010 → 06 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 88 | 8 | 9.1% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 86 | 8 | 9.3% | 0 | 10 |
| Friendly | 73 | 9 | 12.3% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Nations League | 27 | 13 | 48.2% | 0 | 3 |
| Island Games | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Nordic Championship | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Baltic Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 2020 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2019 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2017 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2016 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2015 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 2012 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2007 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2006 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2003 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 2001 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2000 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1999 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1996 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1995 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1992 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1991 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 06 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Oct 14:00 | Kazakhstan | vs | Faroe Islands | – / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.