What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 29 Jan 2023 → 08 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 06 Dec 2025 → 23 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 17 Feb 2025 → 18 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 28 Aug 2022 → 31 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 28 Apr 2024 → 01 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 30 Apr 2021 → 20 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 27 Dec 2020 → 08 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 03 May 2025 → 16 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 31 Aug 2019 → 30 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 19 Sep 2026 → 01 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 248 | 77 | 31.1% | 4 | 14 |
| Taça de Portugal | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 7 |
| 2025 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 17 |
| 2022 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 31 | 14 | 45.2% | 3 |
| 2019 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
Over 270 matches (Aug 2019 – Nov 2026), FC Famalicão drew 80 where the draw model expected 67.9 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 67.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.