Edinburgh City
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 414 matches (Sep 2015 – Sep 2026), Edinburgh City drew 80 where the draw model expected 91.4 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 89.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 21 Dec 2024 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 24 Feb 2024 → 10 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 17 Jul 2018 → 10 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 16 Jul 2022 → 22 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 22 Jul 2017 → 04 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 07 Mar 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 16 Nov 2019 → 15 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 06 May 2023 → 16 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 28 Oct 2023 → 06 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 10 Apr 2021 → 13 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 273 | 58 | 21.3% | 3 | 19 |
| Scottish League One | 72 | 11 | 15.3% | 11 | 12 |
| Scottish Cup | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 2 | 4 |
| Scottish League Cup | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2025 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 17 |
| 2024 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 17 |
| 2023 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2022 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 15 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2019 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2018 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 16 |
| 2017 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2016 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.