What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 466 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), East Fife drew 104 where the draw model expected 110.5 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 102.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 08 Nov 2008 → 28 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 17 Feb 2007 → 15 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 05 Nov 2005 → 21 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 01 Mar 2025 → 23 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 22 Jul 2017 → 02 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 18 | 25 Aug 2012 → 05 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 17 | 08 Nov 2025 → 07 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 17 | 01 Dec 2007 → 01 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 16 | 13 Jan 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 16 | 05 Oct 1996 → 18 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 562 | 119 | 21.2% | 1 | 20 |
| Scottish League Two | 468 | 97 | 20.7% | 10 | 21 |
| Scottish League Cup | 67 | 13 | 19.4% | 0 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Scottish Championship | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 1 | 16 |
| Scottish Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 10 |
| 2025 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 18 |
| 2024 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2023 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2020 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 8 |
| 2019 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 6 |
| 2018 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 16 |
| 2017 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 18 |
| 2016 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 2015 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 13 |
| 2014 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2013 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2012 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 16 |
| 2011 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 11 |
| 2010 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2009 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 13 |
| 2008 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2007 | 40 | 4 | 10.0% | 20 |
| 2006 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2005 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 9 |
| 2004 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2003 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2002 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2001 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 2000 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 1999 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 9 |
| 1998 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 1997 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1996 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 12 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.