Dundee United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 515 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Dundee United drew 125 where the draw model expected 125.9 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 122.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 16 Jul 2019 → 21 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 01 Apr 2023 → 04 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 25 Aug 2007 → 10 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 01 Apr 2000 → 05 Aug 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 26 Dec 2024 → 26 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 16 Mar 2011 → 15 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 01 Oct 2006 → 23 Dec 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 01 Dec 2007 → 26 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 20 Sep 2000 → 28 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 26 Aug 1995 → 31 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 985 | 273 | 27.7% | 1 | 14 |
| Scottish Championship | 208 | 51 | 24.5% | 1 | 22 |
| Scottish League Cup | 90 | 15 | 16.7% | 5 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 82 | 25 | 30.5% | 1 | 5 |
| Scottish Cup | 72 | 11 | 15.3% | 3 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 10 |
| 2024 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 14 |
| 2022 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 2020 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 7 |
| 2019 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 21 |
| 2018 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 6 |
| 2015 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2014 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 9 |
| 2013 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2012 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 2011 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 12 |
| 2010 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 2009 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 4 |
| 2008 | 46 | 17 | 37.0% | 9 |
| 2007 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 13 |
| 2006 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 12 |
| 2005 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2004 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2003 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2002 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 8 |
| 2001 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 13 |
| 1999 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 1998 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1997 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 1996 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 1995 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 11 |
| 1994 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1985 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1980 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Dundee United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
St Johnstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Dundee United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Celtic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Dundee United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.