Drogheda United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 318 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Drogheda United drew 89 where the draw model expected 80.7 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 78.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 11 Apr 2014 → 01 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 25 May 2012 → 10 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 22 Oct 2016 → 21 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 21 Jul 2017 → 23 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 04 Nov 2021 → 18 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 06 Apr 2026 → 18 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 05 May 2023 → 23 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 08 May 2021 → 21 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 24 Apr 2015 → 05 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 06 May 2013 → 28 Jun 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 387 | 110 | 28.4% | 5 | 16 |
| FAI Cup | 147 | 42 | 28.6% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 4 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2021 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2016 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2015 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 17 |
| 2013 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 15 |
| 2011 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2005 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 2 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1982 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 01 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Oct 16:00 |
Trabzonspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.